Template

Earnings Distillation

A pre-configured workflow that consumes every earnings call in your watchlist and emits a structured signal: deltas vs consensus, guidance change, management tone shift, and a Skeptic verdict against your thesis.

Overview

The Earnings Distillation template handles the part of analyst desk work that is most easily automated and most painful to do manually: reading every earnings call in your universe the same day. The Temporal workflow consumes the prepared remarks and Q&A as soon as the transcript is available, attaches quant context, runs the SkepticValidator against the watchlist’s Investment Diary, and emits a structured signal you can read in 90 seconds.

What it produces

Deltas vs consensus

Revenue, EPS, gross-margin, and guidance deltas vs sell-side consensus. Sourced from the print + the call; never single-source.

Guidance change

Forward guidance ranges, raised / cut / unchanged classification, and the specific language used to justify the change.

Management tone shift

Quarter-over-quarter tone delta on prepared remarks. Hedging-language frequency, certainty markers, and the Q&A defensiveness score.

Thesis reconciliation

Skeptic checks each Day-1 condition from the Diary against what was said. Outputs PASS / DRIFT / BREAK with the specific quote that triggered each.

Example signals

PASS — CONF 0.91NVDA — Q2 print + call confirm Day-1 conditions

Source 1: 8-K (Tier 1). Source 2: earnings call transcript (Tier 2). Data-center revenue +12% vs consensus, guidance raised. CFO tone neutral-confident, no hedging-language increase. Thesis intact; no Trailing Stop adjustment required.

DRIFT — CONF 0.74SHOP — CapEx guidance up 18%, margin floor at risk

CapEx guide up 18% YoY, FCF guidance soft. Day-1 condition ‘FCF margin expanding’ now at risk. Thesis Guard escalates; trailing stop tightened from -10% to -7%.

BREAK — CONF 0.93XYZ — CEO tone shift + guidance cut, thesis broken

CEO hedging language up 3x QoQ. Guidance cut 8%. Break-condition ‘accelerating top-line’ explicitly contradicted. Thesis Guard fires; action queue surfaces a reconsider proposal with evidence. Closure reason and decision logged in the Evidence Vault.

Recommended configuration

CadenceOn-event (per earnings call)
Source focus8-K + earnings call transcript (always 2 sources)
Quant contextIV crush, ATM straddle, post-print drift, options skew
Skeptic checkReconcile every Day-1 condition; never optional
DeliverySignal API + Slack + EOD digest entry
Workflow triggerAuto Thesis Guard / Trailing Stop adjustment if BREAK or DRIFT

Designed for

Operator use cases

  • — Engineer-investors with a 5–15 name long book covering full earnings season
  • — Boutique funds that want every call distilled the day-of, not the week-after
  • — Analyst desks tracking thesis drift across a quarterly earnings cycle
  • — Anyone who wants to know what an earnings call meant for their thesis in 90 seconds

Deploy this template

Add tickers, write a 3-line thesis with Day-1 conditions, and the workflow distills every call this season.