Verification Protocol
No single model is allowed to surface a signal alone. The 2-source rule and the SkepticValidator gate everything that reaches the Diary or the broker.
Why two sources, not one model
Single-model AI hallucinates. Single-source signals get faded by the market. The Telumin pipeline solves both at once: every signal must be backed by at least two independent sources of meaningfully different type, and the SkepticValidator must fail to disprove it. Anything that can’t clear both gates is logged for review but never auto-traded.
The pipeline that emits signals
DataForager
Pulls candidate facts from filings, exchanges, primary news, calls, and (carefully tiered) social. Tags every fact with source, timestamp, and tier.
Normalizer
Resolves the raw facts to canonical entities (issuer, ticker, instrument, event type) and de-duplicates across sources.
QuantAnalyzer
Pulls market context: price, vol, options skew, holdings overlap, sector beta. Attaches the quant frame the Skeptic and Diary will read against.
SkepticValidator
Adversarial. Tries to disprove the candidate signal using independent sources, prior thesis state, and statistical priors. Outputs PASS / DRIFT / BREAK with rationale.
SignalPublisher
Emits the cleared signal to the terminal, the Diary, the Signal API, and any subscribed workflow (rebalance, trailing stop, thesis guard).
Skeptic pass requirements
A signal is only emitted when all of the following are true:
Confidence scoring
Every emitted signal carries a 0–100 confidence score made of four weighted factors:
Source tier & diversity (35%)
How many independent sources, and what tier they sit at
Skeptic agreement (30%)
How firmly the Skeptic could not disprove the candidate
Historical accuracy (20%)
Track record of similar signals from these sources
Recency (15%)
How current the corroborating evidence is
Pipeline metrics
2+
Sources required
< 5 min
Avg pipeline latency
100%
Audit-logged trades
Diary
Append on every signal